Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.002506 0.002670 0.002846 0.003050 0.003281 0.003535 0.003840
2024-10-27 0.002248 0.002470 0.002722 0.003032 0.003408 0.003860 0.004456
2024-11-03 0.001976 0.002211 0.002487 0.002840 0.003291 0.003864 0.004676
2024-11-10 0.001871 0.002132 0.002448 0.002870 0.003437 0.004206 0.005395
2024-11-17 0.001798 0.002081 0.002434 0.002922 0.003611 0.004608 0.006299
2024-11-24 0.001709 0.001999 0.002370 0.002898 0.003671 0.004849 0.007013
2024-12-01 0.001663 0.001969 0.002368 0.002955 0.003852 0.005305 0.008259
2024-12-08 0.001599 0.001910 0.002323 0.002943 0.003923 0.005591 0.009293
2024-12-15 0.001531 0.001840 0.002256 0.002892 0.003924 0.005749 0.010118
2024-12-22 0.001505 0.001826 0.002265 0.002954 0.004115 0.006302 0.012238
2024-12-29 0.001477 0.001807 0.002265 0.003002 0.004288 0.006860 0.014861
2025-01-05 0.001429 0.001756 0.002216 0.002965 0.004304 0.007090 0.016640
2025-01-12 0.001359 0.001675 0.002122 0.002855 0.004183 0.007012 0.017320
2025-01-19 0.001321 0.001638 0.002091 0.002848 0.004258 0.007423 0.020787
2025-01-26 0.001245 0.001543 0.001969 0.002680 0.004001 0.006959 0.019332
2025-02-02 0.001223 0.001526 0.001964 0.002708 0.004137 0.007540 0.024841
2025-02-09 0.001208 0.001516 0.001969 0.002756 0.004320 0.008320 0.035032
2025-02-16 0.001177 0.001484 0.001937 0.002734 0.004353 0.008683 0.044163
2025-02-23 0.001165 0.001477 0.001946 0.002786 0.004555 0.009676 0.076793
2025-03-02 0.001140 0.001451 0.001922 0.002776 0.004614 0.010218 0.123852
2025-03-09 0.001110 0.001415 0.001880 0.002730 0.004583 0.010420 0.182079
2025-03-16 0.001101 0.001413 0.001892 0.002786 0.004808 0.011784 8.391636
2025-03-23 0.001090 0.001406 0.001897 0.002828 0.005008 0.013239 NaN